An eagerly anticipated clash between international heavyweights Netherlands and Italy takes place in Amsterdam on Tuesday night with both sides keen to put down a marker against a traditional and historical tournament rival. It’s expected to be an open and entertaining game, with both teams playing without pressure. It’s a chance for both sets of players to enjoy come creative freedom on the pitch before returning to the rigours of club football.
The Netherlands are going through a period of restructuring under Danny Blind and so far it’s been a turbulent transition. On Saturday they produced an extremely disappointing display, losing 2-0 in Bulgaria leaving them a huge 5 points off top spot in World Cup qualifying group A. They will need to finish strongly in their last 5 games to stand any chance of going to Russia next summer.
Italy are unbeaten in 7 and their 2-0 home win over Albania keeps them in contention at the top of Group G where they trail leaders Spain on goal difference. The Italians recent away record is also impressive and they have found the net 10 times in their last 3 trips.
Ordinarily Italy would be favourites to win against such an inexperienced Dutch side, but with Danny Blind and Gian Piero Ventura both expected to chop and change their line-ups, it’s probably wise to revise opinions. A high scoring draw looks likely between what should be two experimental teams.
It’s a good idea to steer clear of the outright betting markets in this one. As I explained above, two experimental line-ups will mean an unpredictable game. However when Italy and the Netherlands take to the field, goals are always likely to follow. Bet 365’s odds of 6/5 for there to be over 2.5 goals look generous. They also offer odds of 5/6 for both teams to score.