Callum Smith takes on Erik Skoglund in the quarter-finals of the World Boxing Super Series at the Echo Arena on September 16.
This is a great fight to start the tournament, as we'll see two of the better super middleweights right now going at it and actually putting their undefeated records on the line. Will it be a 12 round bloodbath or a win-in-the-backyard for Smith?
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Smith concern to the fight with a record of 22-0. This includes an incredible 77% KO record. Standing at 6′ 3″, he is a dominant presence in the ring and the 27-year-old is sixth in the world rankings.
Skoglund comes into the fight unbeaten with a 26-0 record. However, there has been a significant difference in the number of knockouts with Skoglund only managing a 46% KO record. The 26-year-old stands at 6′ 1″ and he is placed 12th in the world rankings.
The huge frame of Smith is a major advantage, and this gives him the benefit of incredible punching power. He has the ability to come in with plenty of quick combinations that can stun his opposition.
Since 2016, Skoglund has been involved in three fights. His strong punches also manage to combine accuracy so as to inflict great damage on the opposition, although it has not been reflected on the knockout record. Skoglund’s movement is also quite good.
Smith has struggled when it comes to fights that go the distance, as he has not been tested in such an instance. Most of his fights have been at Liverpool.
Skoglund has largely come up against the low-power boxers and this has slowed down his movement and pace in the ring.
Even though boxing odds are heavily against him, Skoglund is expected to put up a good show, as he has done for the majority of his career. His biggest problem has not been facing quality opposition for most of the time. He has not been tested at this stage unlike Smith, who has come up against some top opposition. Smith will not allow Skoglund to settle into the game, and he will be coming in with several quick combinations to unsettle the opponent.
Callum Smith to win by Decision or Technical Decision @ 4/9 Betfair
The most obvious boxing betting advice would to back Smith for the victory, but the extremely short odds are not worth it, this it is possible to go for a victory by decision. It is possible to get a price of @ 4/9 (Betfair) in this market. Smith is definitely the better player, looking at the stats, is a more powerful fighter with much more experience.
The Fight Will Go the Distance @ 4/9 Betfair
We're playing safe here, so we'll assume that the fight will go the distance @ 4/9 (Betfair). Smith has shown before (against Rocky Fielding or Nikola Sjekloca) that he is something just too good and too strong, but we believe he will underestimate Skoglund and repeat the same error he did against Hadillah Mohoumadi, so the fight will probably go the distance.
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