The 2017 US Open quarterfinals are very close and today we will witness two very unusual players fight for a place in the semifinals. Roger Federer and Rafael Nadal are the only favourites of US Open ATP odds who are still in the tournament. The match between Argentinian Diego Schwartzman and Pablo Carreno Busta will be balanced in terms of skills and experience, but still intense. Let's check today's tennis betting picks & our advice.
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Diego Schwartzman and his opponent Pablo Carreno-Busta will both face the most important match of their careers as of now, given that they will fight for a place in the US Open semi-finals. US Open betting odds favour Carreno Busta for a victory, but it's very difficult how they will react given the amount of stress they will endure for the first time ever.
Carreno Busta had a stunning season and especially on clay he performed very well. Unfortunately for him, he got injured during the Roland Garros quarterfinals and this kept him on the sideline until early August. He was actually very timid with his comeback and he competed only at Cincinnati as preparation for this Grand Slam (where he lost to Ferrer in the third round). Our past US Open men predictions seem to have forseen this performance quite well since he has regained the level he had before getting injured.
Diego Schwartzman is literally having the absolute best tournament of his entire career, a spectacular breakthrough for the Argentinean at the Grand Slam level. Diego Schwartzman did a very good job before heading for the US Open, as he reached the quarterfinals at the Montreal Masters (defeated Thiem, but lost to Haase). He stepped up his game in the first week of the US Open beating all US Open ATP betting tips – with victories over Berlocq, as well as Tipsarevic, Marin Cilic and Pouille earning him a ticket to the first Grand Slam quarterfinal ever.
Carreno Busta and Schwartzman will meet for the first time now, so there are not US Open men predictions or other tournaments that we can check. The two tennis players have very similar styles, as they both are aggressive baseliners, though Carreno Busta hits harder, with definitely more conviction. Both players have started their careers as clay courters (especially Diego Schwartzman), but thei level of play in 2017 is as good on clay as on hard. Bottom line, a surface and styles analysis does not suggest a certain advantage for either tennis player.
Carreno Busta to win @ 2/5 Betway
We think Carreno Busta is the better player here, as he is more experienced and hasn't been sidelines for a longer period of time as Schwartzman was (between Roland Garros and Cincinnati). While this has impacted US Open ATP odds for Schwartzman, if Carreno Busta manages to put in the same level of effort he did against his opponent from the last round - Shapovalol, he should definitely win this. Schwartzman has not met consistent players, and he will not see the errors Poille or Cilic made. We chose Carreno Busta to win @ 2/5 with Betway as this bookmaker offers the best odds on tennis and special promotions for the US Open as well.
3 Sets @ 5/4 Betway
50% of Schwartzman's and 100% of Carreno Busta's matches at the 2017 US Open required three sets to be decided. While US Open betting odds given by most bookmakers favour an Over 3.5 Sets pick, we will go for this choice since it's backed by stats and offers a better return. Betway offers a price of 5/4 for 3 Sets.