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  • Grêmio vs Botafogo Predictions: Home Team to Edge Close Contest

Grêmio vs Botafogo Predictions: Home Team to Edge Close Contest

01:45 Thursday 21 September 2017
Simon Winter
EVENT ENDED!
  • Grêmio (to win @ ) have won just once in seven matches — 5/6 Betsson
  • There has been under 2.5 goals in five of the last six meetings between these two, so under 2.5 goals @ — 4/9 Winner

Match Preview

Everyone from Rio to Porte Alegre will have their eyes on the all Brazilian CONMEBOL Libertadores quarter final second leg between Grêmio and Botafogo in a match that conjures up memories of great historical battles between the clubs. The teams analysed in our Grêmio vs Botafogo preview have little chance of winning Brazil’s Serie A, so this continental tournament represents their best chance of silverware. Looking at the football odds for today it’s clear that these two will be hard to separate. Their 0-0 first leg draw was representative of that fact.

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The home team have been on a disastrous run coming into today’s free OddsDigger Grêmio vs Botafogo betting tips. One win in seven is not the kind of form you want to be taken into such a vital second leg. Causing the most trepidation for Coach Renato Portaluppi has been the lack of goals over the last month – they have failed to find the net in six of their last seven. It’s been a bizarre turn of events for Serie A’s top scoring team.

The away side approach our Grêmio vs Botafogo predictions in fine fettle having won three from four over the past couple of weeks. Domestically, they are six points and five places behind their quarter final rivals, but they travel to the Arena do Grêmio on Thursday with every chance of going through to the semi-finals. The Fogão have kept three clean sheets on the spin.

Botafogo have won three of the last five meetings between the pair, though the last battle at the Arena do Grêmio ended 2-0 to the hosts in May thanks to a double strike from 24-year-old midfielder Ramiro.

Grêmio vs Botafogo Prediction and Betting Advice

This might seem a strange choice to open our Grêmio vs Botafogo picks given the recent record in terms of results between the two. One defeat in five for Botafogo in this fixture is not to be scoffed at, but it’s the home side’s general statistics at home that have drawn our attention the most. The Immortal Tricolor have only lost once in eight in front of their own passionate fans and we can extrapolate that to see that they have tasted defeat just three times in twenty-nine matches at the Arena do Grêmio. Their biggest worry will certainly be the lack of goals over the last month, but with players like Luan, Lucas Barrios and Fernandinho on the pitch, they will find their goalscoring touch sooner rather than later. Betsson’s odds provide punters with the best value for their money for this outright market.

The next part of our football forecast deals with the overs/unders goal markets. In the first leg tie between our scrutinized clubs, there was little to no goal mouth action and the match finished 0-0. That leaves the second leg on a knife edge and with two nervy teams taking to the field, excitement in the penalty areas may be at a premium. In eight of Grêmio’s last nine matches overall, there has been under 2.5 goals registered. In eight of the visitor’s last ten outings, there has been under 2.5 goals too. Furthermore, in past direct meetings between the two Brazilian giants, there has been under 2.5 goals in nine of twelve match-ups. The statistical evidence points towards a repeat occurrence on Thursday. Winner’s prices represent the optimum value for bettors looking to back our tip here.

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