Match Preview

Watford and Stoke City are going in different directions at present. The Hornets are sitting pretty in the Premier League table, in sixth place, having won four and drawn three of their nine games. Stoke City are just outside the bottom three on goal difference, having won just two of their opening nine games.

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Watford come into this on the back of a 4-2 loss at Chelsea, which looks far worse than it actually was, since Marco da Silva’s side created a host of opportunities and were desperately unlucky to lose to two late goals. They have won only once form four attempts at Vicarage Road, however, beating Arsenal 2-1 a fortnight ago.

Stoke City have lost four of their last five Premier League games and conceded 15 goals in that span. They lost 7-2 at Manchester City two weeks ago and followed that with a 2-1 home defeat by Bournemouth. The Potters have eight points and have conceded more goals (20) than anyone in the top flight.

Our Watford vs Stoke City preview highlights the fact that the visitors have a fair record at Vicarage Road and may make life tough for the high-flying Hornets. We also suggest in our Watford vs Stoke City predictions that the home side have failed to score in the first half at home in their last three outings and this may be a trend worth following.

Watford vs Stoke City Prediction and Betting Advice

Watford’s indifferent home form, with two draws, a 6-0 reverse (by Manchester City) and a win over Arsenal, has meant that bookmakers are offering latest football odds for a home win at bigger prices than their recent form merits. There were plenty of positives to take out of the defeat by Chelsea and they are playing with confidence. However, the bookies have perhaps factored in their form against Stoke City, which is average at best.

Stoke City have won their last three meetings, including the last two at Vicarage Road, and have lost just twice in their last 10 visits. Mark Hughes’s side have picked up just one point from a possible 12 on their travels this season and one win in seven has seen their confidence ebb.

Yet our Premier League football tips suggests that Watford are a better side when they play on the break and they have had trouble breaking teams down at home, failing to net in the first half of each of their last three home games.

Our Watford vs Stoke City betting tips concludes that with five wins a draw and a defeat on their last seven trips to Watford, allied to a tough of desperation at their freefall, a point will be exactly what Stoke City play for and may get. Coral offer fair value for a draw and we shall indulge them.

We go against the historical grain for what we believe to be one of the best Watford vs Stoke City bets. In eight of the last 10 meetings, there have been fewer than three goals scored in total. A percentage trend such as this rarely lasts long, yet the bookmakers offering the latest football odds are putting too much faith in history and not enough on current form. For Watford have netted 15 times and, pertinently, have conceded 17 times, while Stoke City have conceded a whopping 20 times, although those stats are showed somewhat by respective maulings from Manchester City. In the last five games involving Watford, there have been at least three goals scored. In the last six games involving Stoke City, it is a similar trend. William Hill evidently feel the status quo of few goals between these two will continue and accordingly offer the best value in the Over 2.5 Goals market.