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  • Palmeiras vs Bahia Predictions: Suspensions Will Hamper Bahia

Palmeiras vs Bahia Predictions: Suspensions Will Hamper Bahia

00:00 Friday 13 October 2017
Simon Milham
EVENT ENDED!
  • Home side failed to score in 1st half in 6 of last 7 meetings – HT/FT Daw/Palmeiras @ — 3/1 Betfred

Match Preview

The race for the top six places is hotting up in the Brasileiro Serie A league, with the reward being an automatic qualification to the Copa Libertadores. Palmeiras sit fifth, four points ahead of seventh-placed Flamengo, yet their form has been patchy of late. The Sao Paolo club have lost three of their last five games at home, including a 1-0 reverse by Santos last time.

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The visit of Bahia may appear a welcome tonic on paper, as they languish in 13th place, 12 points behind the hosts. Bahia’s form is equally patchy, with three wins, three defeats and three draws in their last nine league games. They have not won on the road in their last five and come here on the back of a 1-1 home draw with Coritiba.

Our Palmeiras vs Bahia preview and soccer predictions suggest that Palmeiras, who won the reverse fixture 4-2 in June, can complete the double over Bahia and buck a trend that has seen the home side win just one of the last 10 league meetings. Our Palmeiras vs Bahia predictions highlight that first-half goals have traditionally been hard to come by in games between these two and that this trend may continue.

Palmeiras vs Bahia Prediction and Betting Advice

It may not be the sexiest of Palmeiras vs Bahia betting tips, yet despite a trend that has seen just one home win in 10 previous meetings, it is the most obvious call and most likely outcome that the home side will win this Brasileiro Serie A contest.

This game will be played at the Pacaembu Stadium, as the Allianz Parque is hosting a series of music concerts, and it may be that a change of scenery is what the hosts require. They battered Santos in their last home game but were sunk by a sucker-punch. It is not as if they failed to create chances.

Key to the outcome could be the weakened Bahia side. While they have won two of their last five league trips to Palmeiras, the Salvador club will be weakened by the absence of suspended Tiago and Edson, plus defender Thiago Martins and midfielders Allione and Matheus Sales, who have a contract with Palmeiras and are not permitted to face their former club.

Our Palmeiras vs Bahia betting tips suggest that a home win in this Brasileiro Serie A contest can buck a trend and the champions may be able to mount a title challenge on the back of this victory. Ladbrokes are in sync with the chances of a home win and their odds are worthy of consideration.

Champions Palmeiras have hit a sticky patch in recent weeks, with just three wins in their last eight. Yet while they are still 12 points behind leaders Corinthians with 12 games to play in Brasileiro Serie A, it is not beyond the realms of possibility that they can still mount a title challenge. They have three home games before facing Corinthians on November 5.

Goals have been at a premium for both sides of late, with the champions netting three times in their last four and Bahia scoring four in five. Considering the visitors are weakened by suspension, there may be a few more openings for the hosts, particularly in the midfield areas. As such, the soccer odds suggest Bahia will struggle and their game-plan will be to simply defend and attempt to get something on the break.

The home side has failed to score before half-time in six of the last seven meetings and therefore, given their recent scoring issues, it may take time for the hosts to break down a tight Bahia rear-guard. Backing a draw at Half-time, with the hosts going on to win is a bigger price than it should be with Betfred, and we should consider taking advantage of one of the more interesting Palmeiras vs Bahia bets.

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