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- Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense Predictions: Home Advantage to Prove Enough
- Atletico PR haven’t scored during their last three away games - Sao Paulo to Win to Nil — 29/20 Winner
- The hosts’ recent victories at home have been very close-run things - Sao Paulo to Win by One Goal — 11/5 Betfair
Match Preview
Atletico Paranaense are in a tough spot, ahead of our Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense preview and football predictions, with one point from their last three on the road only just enough to keep them hanging in mid-table.
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Sao Paulo meanwhile, are in some trouble. The hosts sit in the relegation zone, just one point from safety, with their home form proving to be absolutely vital to their ambitions to stay in the Brazilian top flight.
Our Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense predictions are influenced by Atletico PR’s awful goalscoring record away from home of late, which makes the Brazilian Serie A odds very tempting in terms of backing a fairly comfortable victory for the home side.
The hosts are unbeaten in their last four home matches in the league, which comes at a good time considering the relegation battle that they find themselves in. This motivation alone should be enough to help Sao Paulo squeeze some points out of this clash.
Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction and Betting Advice
The home side won their last home game 1-0, but the influence for this particular pick comes from the away team’s dreadful recent scoring record. Atletico PR have not hit the back of the net in their last 270 minutes of top-flight away football, firing blanks against Gremio, Flamengo and Santos in recent weeks.
Before then, too, the visitors only managed a goal per game against Vasco da Gama and Palmeiras. This stuttering in front of goal points towards the weekend being fairly comfortable for the hosts, who need the points far more than their 10th-placed opponents for now.
Winner offer the best value on Sao Paulo to take three points without conceding on Sunday, with the hosts having lost just one of their last nine league fixtures at Estadio Municipal Paulo Machado de Carvalho. The hosts don’t keep too many clean sheets, giving these odds, particularly good value.
Our Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense bets do also back this to be a tight contest. The hosts’ last three victories on home soil have come by just one-goal margins, with Sao Paulo rarely capable of keeping it particularly tight at the back.
Given the goalscoring figures that Atletico PR have been putting up lately, however, a narrow victory is looking likely for the hosts. What’s more, only one of the visitors’ last five league clashes have had more than a one-goal difference between the two sides at the final whistle. They certainly won’t roll over, but they can be edged out.
Our Sao Paulo vs Atletico Paranaense picks back the hosts, who have been beaten just twice at home in the league since November of last year, with Atletico PR set to underwhelm. With the immediate threat of relegation nipping at their heels, the hosts have little option but to scrape three points, with their opponents’ recent goal-shy tendencies only bound to make their lives easier.
