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  • US Open ATP Betting Tips for Kevin Anderson vs Pablo Carreno-Busta: A Surprising Semi-Final

US Open ATP Betting Tips for Kevin Anderson vs Pablo Carreno-Busta: A Surprising Semi-Final

Westley Ott

The dream of many Americans to finally participate on Sunday in the big men's final was stopped abruptly on Tuesday. Sam Querrey was beaten in four sets in the duel against serve monster Kevin Anderson, and the South African's US Open ATP odds shortened in an instant. Kevin Anderson now faces Pablo Carreno-Busta in his first Grand Slam semi-final. Let's check our tennis predictions for today.

US Open Betting: Semi-Final Preview

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The Spaniard Carreno-Busta is currently celebrating the greatest success in his career in New York, something that few US Open men predictions have foreseen. Hardly anyone would have thought it possible ten days ago that these two players would meet in the semi-finals of a Grand Slam tournament. But with a lot of favourites eliminated, as well as with a very favourable draw in the lower part of the schedule map, these two underdogs were presented with a historic opportunity. Anderson is a hard court specialist, Pablo Carreno-Busta typically loves clay. But at the US Open, both have been brilliant.

Kevin Anderson – Current Form, Stats, & Latest Matches

2016 was really bad for Kevin Anderson, and this was reflected in the US Open betting odds. The South African, number ten in the world in October 2015, had great problems and had to take a three-months time-out. He fell further and further back in the ATP. In early 2017, he began to improve his form, but in Brisbane, his hip began causing problems again. He did pretty well mid-February in Memphis. The tall South African was only able to celebrate the first victory on the ATP Tour on March 10, 2017. As he slowly came back into shape, he managed to obtain some decent results in the tournaments prior to Wimbledon.

With the change to lawn, he started doing way better and at Wimbledon, he reached the round of 16. It was followed by a tough match against Sam Querrey, which he finally lost in five sets. We took this into account in our US Open ATP betting tips. With the final in Washington and the quarter-final in Montreal, he had a good preparation for the US Open. On the way to his first Grand Slam semi-final, ATP's No. 32 was certainly not a favourite, although he had no trouble with Borna Coric, over whom he celebrated a sovereign victory. He had to give the first set in the tiebreak against Paolo Lorenzi (round of 16). In the match against Sam Querrey, the whole audience was on the side of "Big Sam".

But Anderson remained very quiet and focused with his serves. 22 aces paved the way for the successful Wimbledon revenge. Until late in the night, he persevered to decide the victory against the American. The match concluded after 3:26h. Early risers in Europe were able to witness the last games live.

Pablo Carreno-Busta – Current Form, Stats, & Latest Matches

For a long time, Spain was the dominant nation in the top 100 of the ATP Tour. Up to 15 players were present in the top 100. This generation is now getting a bit old. With Pablo Carreno-Busta, Spain now has a player who is still young. And yet he is already 26-years-old. He surprised everyone in 2013 when he achieved an incredible season with 97 wins and 18 defeats. The Spaniard was injured in 2012 for a long time and then fought his way back through numerous challenges, but it is not reflected in the US Open ATP odds that much. In July 2017, he reached his peak when he was ranked 16th after the quarter-finals at the French Open. Carreno-Busta is a typical Spaniard who loves the clay. As often as he can, he is on the red clay. Ten of his eleven titles were won on clay.

Pablo Carreno-Busta is also the only remaining player who has not lost a single set in the previous tournament. However, this was made easier by a favoured draw. Evan King, Cameron Norrie, Nicolas Mahut, and Denis Shapovalov were all the qualifiers that he eliminated in the first four rounds, beating all US Open predictions. The small Argentinian Diego Schwartzman (only 1.70 m high) was a little exhausted after the strong performances and Carreno-Busta needed only 1:59 hours to win.

H2H: Kevin Anderson vs Pablo Carreno-Busta

The South African has the psychological advantage as he won the two previous games against the American. The first duel took place in April 2013. Anderson had no problems on the clay field preferred by Carreno-Busta and secured the win 6-3, 6-3. Far more meaningful for the first Grand-Slam semi-final of the two players is the match from the 9th of August this year. That one really has a big impact on our US Open ATP betting tips. In Montreal, they faced each other in the second round. Anderson benefited greatly from his top-notch service (14 aces versus 0) and was a champion of effectiveness (three out of three break chances). In Canada, too, he retained the upper hand with a 2-0 score!

US Open Betting Tips for September 8

If you predicted that Kevin Anderson or Pablo Carreno-Busta would make it to the semi-final, well... lots of fantastic returns came your way. It is hard to believe that this duel is a Grand-Slam semi-final. Although Pablo Carreno-Busta has the advantage of not having lost a set yet, he is a clear underdog for the bookmakers. The US Open betting odds for his victory are 11/5 at Betway!

The South African has the advantage of winning both previous games against the Spaniard in two sets. In addition, he is a great player on hard surfaces. With his powerful service, he will get a lot of free points and will need far less power than Carreno-Busta. Therefore, we see Anderson boasting a clear advantage and expect here the third victory in the third direct duel.

Pablo Carreno-Busta hasn't lost a set in the entire 2017 US Open. It's hard to believe that he will not lose one in the semi-finals, and US Open ATP odds seem to reflect this. However, Anderson's tactic is much different than that of Carreno-Busta's previous opponents here in New York, so he will be taken by surprise. Men's tennis odds are great for the 2nd Set Winner market and it's actually very probable that the Spaniard will fight hard to stay afloat. Betway and William Hill offer the best odds today.