Match Preview

Ahead of our Botafogo vs Gremio preview and weekly football predictions, the hosts have picked up their form with back-to-back wins in the Brazilian Serie A, but their record in the Copa Libertadores has been much patchier.

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A simple 3-0 aggregate victory over Nacional meant that navigation into the quarter final was relatively comfortable, but the Brazilian club suffered two losses and a draw during the group stages.

Meanwhile, Gremio have only dropped points in this competition on the road, meaning our Botafogo vs Gremio predictions are based off the fact that home advantage could be key. Betfair’s football odds could offer some value, too, with their 8/5 odds on Over 2.5 goals very suggestible given that Gremio tend to find the back of the net on their travels.

The away team have lost just one of their last four away games in the Copa Libertadores, but they’ve scored in each of them too. Botafogo certainly can’t expect for their opponents to roll over in Rio de Janeiro and bank on turning things around back at home.

Rodrigo Pimpao is currently topscoring with five tournament goals for Botafogo, but Gremio have a striker to rival those figures too. Lucas Barrios is on the same and will be hungry for more as his side focus their eyes on the semi finals.

Botafogo vs Gremio Prediction and Betting Advice

Luan also has five goals to his name, and Pedro Rocha four, highlighting just how much firepower the visitors have. Even though they may struggle to take victory on their travels, they’ve certainly got the tools to hurt whoever they come up against.

The hosts have won five of their last six home ties in the Copa Libertadores, making a very successful return to the tournament from 2014. Most recently, they’ve kept consecutive clean sheets on their own patch against both Atletico Nacional and Nacional respectively.

Given that Gremio are currently in second place in the Brazilian Serie A, it may mean that their focus is elsewhere. Santos are breathing down their neck in third place, just two points off their shoulder, ahead of a couple of what are perceived to be easier fixtures.

Both teams have scored in a Botafogo home game in the Copa Libertadores just twice during the current tournament, but the presence of Luan, Pedro Rocha and Lucas Barrios should ensure that Gremio have plenty of ways to hurt their opponents.

Our Botafogo vs Gremio picks, therefore, highlight the value in Over 2.5 goals and also both teams to find the back of the net, which is at 11/10 with Betfair this week. The presence of so much offensive quality can only have one outcome.