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  • Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Predictions: Basque Derby to End Level

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Predictions: Basque Derby to End Level

10:15 Saturday 16 December 2017
Simon Winter
EVENT ENDED!
  • The teams have drawn 4 of their last 7 meetings (draw @ ) — 10/3 Ladbrokes
  • Only Alaves have scored fewer goals at home than Athletic this season (under 2.5 goals @ ) — 5/6 Sunbets

Match Preview

The hotly contested Basque derby is the feature game in our OddsDigger Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad preview this week. The Euskal Derbia is one of La Liga’s most fierce rivalries, pitting clubs from the neighbouring Basque provinces of Gipuzkoa and Biscay against each other in a battle for pride and local bragging rights.

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Los Leones come into today’s Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad betting tips in less than ideal form ahead of their biggest match of the season. Manager José Ángel Ziganda has watched his team win just twice in their last eleven fixtures and though one defeat in their last five represents a marginal improvement, it’s important to note that they drew three of those games against Villarreal, Deportivo and Real Madrid respectively.

Real Sociedad have had to navigate through some tricky form of their own, winning just once in their last five attempts, though they have lost just three of their most recent thirteen overall. Only the current top two in the La Liga standings, Barcelona and Valencia, have scored more goals this season than the Txuri-urdinak, who have smashed in twenty-eight goals in their fourteen league matches since August. Attacking pair Willian Jose and Mikel Oyarzabal have been providing most of their team’s cutting edge, scoring thirteen times in the Primera Division between them so far in 2017/18

Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad Prediction and Betting Advice

Considering the current shape their in, both mentally and physically, the best Athletic Bilbao can hope for in the Basque Derby is a point. They have won just twice at San Mamés in seven fixtures ahead of our Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad bets, making them one of the poorest teams in La Liga when playing in front of their own supporters.

Sociedad have the fifth best away record in the league this season with three wins from seven on the road and while those stats might not look all that impressive, it should be noted that it is notoriously difficult to win matches away from home in Spain’s top flight. In fact, only Barcelona and Atletico Madrid are the only two clubs to avoid defeat on the road so far in 2017/18.

Four of the last seven Basque derbies have ended all square, adding further backing to our prediction. A point each would represent a good day’s work for the clubs either side of this heated rivalry and would allow them both to keep their pride intact. We found the best La Liga football odds this week for our outright prediction at Ladbrokes. Their prices are head and shoulders above their competitors.

The home team in analysed in our Athletic Bilbao vs Real Sociedad predictions are one of Spain’s least exciting outfits to watch this season, especially when they are playing at San Mamés. They have scored five goals and conceded five in their seven games there to date which is an average of just 1.4 per game, the lowest figure in the division.

It won’t surprise you then to learn that in six of those seven home fixtures, with 2.5 goals were scored. Los Leones have been putting a lot of pressure on centre forward Aduriz to get their goals, but their talismanic frontman is 36 and needs much more support than he is getting from the players around him.

The record books show us that in seven of the last eight Basque derbies, both home and away, there has been under 2.5 goals. With so much at stake, neither team will be keen to leave gaps at the back by pushing too many men forward, meaning we should be in for a chess-like battle on December 16th. Sunbet’s have the most valuable odds around for the goal market section of today’s Spanish football betting guide. Our advice is to bet with them.