Match Preview

In our Napoli vs Fiorentina preview today, we analyse two of Italy’s perennial underachievers, though for one side at least, that tag is close to being shaken off. In one of the closest looking battles for the Scudetto in recent memory, Napoli have their noses out in front in the title race as we approach the Christmas period in Serie A.

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Prior to our pick of OddsDigger Napoli vs Fiorentina betting tips, the Partenopei have gone eleven matches unbeaten at the Stadio San Paolo in the league. Maurizio Sarri’s side have one of the most enjoyable playing styles in Europe and their results have matched their slick one and two touch displays. Their potency in front of goal is reflected in the statistics, only current champions Juventus have scored more times on their own patch than the Neapolitans in 2017/18.

With zero wins from their last four outings, Fiorentina have started to tumble down the standings and La Viola currently find themselves in a disappointing 11^th spot. Their recent 1-1 draw at high flying Lazio was an admirable result which should help to re-solidify their crumbling confidence. Things haven’t quite gone to plan for manager Stefano Piolo this season and many of his side’s problems have stemmed from their inept performances on the road. They have won just two of their eight matches outside Florence this term.

Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction and Betting Advice

Any Napoli vs Fiorentina bets we tip in this section were always going to heavily favour the home team. If the recent form wasn’t enough to convince you, then the history books also paint a markedly one-sided picture in results between our featured clubs. La Viola haven’t beaten their more illustrious opponents since 2014. That’s a sequence of eight contests without a victory.

The club from Naples won six of those eight encounters, further confirming their dominance over the Florentine side. When the teams last met at the back end of the 2016/17 season, Dries Mertens scored twice in a comfortable 4-1 win for the Partenopei. A repeat of that scoreline is far from an unlikely scenario this time around.

Sarri’s troops aren’t prone to slip-ups this season and their only losses so far have come in continental competition against Man City and Shakhtar Donetsk. Today’s Serie A football odds for our first pick were found at the ever-reliable 10Bet. The value they offer can’t be matched by their rivals.

Backing over 2.5 goals is a sensible choice for our Napoli vs Fiorentina predictions for many reasons. When we scroll through the record books, we can see that our targeted number of goals has been passed in five of the teams’ last eight matches against each other.

Sarri’s side have been particularly goal hungry at the Stadio San Paolo in 2017/18, surpassing the 2.5 goal mark in five of their six Serie A contests there. 100% of their Champions League fixtures on their own turf have also had over 2.5 goals racked up in them.

La Viola have only managed to keep two clean sheets in their previous eleven fixtures and Stefano Poli looks no closer to plugging the holes in his gap-ridden backline in recent weeks. We found the most lucrative odds for the second part of our Italian football betting tips at Bet-at-home, whose prices rate the highest when compared to other bookmakers.