Santos hoped to fight for the title in the Brasileiro Serie A, but their recent results have been disappointing in the extreme. The most devastating blow was going out of the Copa Libertadores at the hands of Barcelona (the one from Ecuador, of course). The Brazilians lost 1-0 at home in the return leg after drawing 1-1 away, and that was a huge sensation. Their morale is very low, as we can show in our Santos vs Atletico Paranaense preview. That makes us reluctant to choose them for our best football bets.
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The visitors are in much better form, having lost just once in the last seven fixtures, and even that was 2-0 at high flying Flamengo. They are eighth in the table after beating Fluminense 3-1 in the last game, and it might have been tempting to choose them for our Santos vs Atletico Paranaense predictions. There is a problem, however – they lost eleven games at Santos in a row dating back to 2006!
Where is the best prediction for football then? The hosts are not good enough, but the history is against the visitors. We can look at the scoring records then, and see that Santos are boring in the extreme lately. They scored just 25 goals in 24 matches all season, and that is especially bad with three goals scored in the last six games. Three of those fixtures ended in goalless draws, and none went over 2.5 goals. Add the two games against Barcelona, and it is very likely that we won't see a lot of action here as well. The odds on under 2.5 goals are magnificent given the circumstances at 8/15.
Another interesting option for our Santos vs Atletico Paranaense betting tips is to notice that the hosts didn't concede a single goal at home throughout the whole season. They also kept a clean sheet in four of the last five games at home. Given the historical record, it is not illogical to assume that the visitors might not be able to put the ball into the net here, and the odds are lucrative at 5/4. The hosts won three out of the last home matches against the visitors to nil.