Match Preview

Gremio’s fine start to the Brasileiro Serie A season has seemed a distant memory in recent weeks. Although they sit exactly where they finished the last term – third place in the table – they have had a wretched recent run, winning just two of their last seven league games and losing three. Gremio have managed just one goal in their last four games, and that was good enough to beat 16th-placed Fluminense last week.

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They take on in-form Cruzeiro, who have lost just two of their last 16 games and who sit just two points behind the hosts in fourth place. At first glance, the visitors appear to be the ones to be on, having won four of their last five, including winning three of their last four on the road. They also secured a 2-1 home win against Ponte Preta last week, having had to come from behind with goals in the last 20 minutes from Thiago Neves and Hudson.

However, as our Gremio vs Cruzeiro preview and soccer predictions highlight, Cruzeiro have traditionally not fared well on their trips to Porto Alegre. The hosts may well get back on track, despite a recent dip in form. After all, they have lost just one of their last six home games and won three of those, and we also suggest in our Gremio vs Cruzeiro predictions that goals may not be so hard to come by.

Gremio vs Cruzeiro Prediction and Betting Advice

Our Gremio vs Cruzeiro betting tips suggest that the hosts may be value in what should be a cracking tie near the summit of Brasileiro Serie A. While these teams have similar records, games between these two usually provide a positive result, with just two draws in the last 14 league clashes. Indeed, if you like trends, they have only ever drawn back-to-back league encounters once since 1998 and they drew 3-3 in Belo Horizonte in June.

Gremio may have caught Cruzeiro at just the right time, as the visitors have right-back Ezequiel, centre-forward Rafael Sobis, central midfielder Alejandro Cabral and defensive midfielder Henrique missing through suspension. Gremio have also won seven of the last six home encounters with Cruzeiro, so it is hard to see why bookmakers don’t the hosts at odds-on, even after such a modest recent run of results.

This means we should take advantage. The hosts have scored at least once in 10 of their last 11 home league meetings with Cruzeiro. Ladbrokes, therefore, look a little generous on their odds for a home win.

In the last seven Brasileiro Serie A meetings between these two sides, one or other has failed to score in six of those clashes. Yet there are a couple of reasons why we should perhaps oppose that trend. Firstly, since 2003, Cruzeiro have only once failed to score on successive trips to Porto Alegre and having been held scoreless on their last two visits, the trend suggests they will likely score this time round.

Secondly, Gremio have a happy knack of scoring against these particular visitors, having netted at least once in the last nine home league meetings. Despite a recent blip, they put five past Sport Recife not so long ago. With the visitors weakened somewhat by suspensions, the hosts should be good for at least one goal.

We can see both sides netting. At the current soccer odds, Coral appear to be overly-generous with their price for both teams to score and this appears one of the more inviting Gremio vs Cruzeiro bets in a wealth of options for what should be a great game.