Who will win Euro 2016? Forecasts and Opinions

As usual in recent years, the Spanish team is one of the favorites for a major tournament of EURO 2016. This team now owns the European title, so they will come to France to defend it. But the Spain’s bids do not consider them the main favorite, giving them the third place. Let's see why it is so, and what may prevent Vicente del Bosque’s men to win the European Championship 2016 this summer.

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We cannot reject Spain only because they failed the 2014 World Cup. The team of Del Bosque overcame qualifications famously, winning 9 of 10 games and set a new national record - 8 dry official matches in a row.

If Spain top their group, then it’s possible they could be as short as 1/5 to make the quarters, then 1/3 to make the semis and 1/2 to reach the final. The market projects games against a third-placed finisher followed by Poland and England, while the top two in the betting look set for a collision course in the semis. Thus, the 11/2 on Spain to win the competition seems to be a confident bet.

In every tournament, the first round is largely decisive. The current champions of Europe will hold its first match against the Czechs in Toulouse on July 13th. Czech team got in a difficult group, the Spanish are the favorites of the tournament, and perhaps it is worth trying to compete only for the second place in the group. It is difficult to predict a good opening match for the Czech Republic. And the second position will not be easy to take - its major contender is Croatia. Most likely, the Czech team will start the European Championship with the defeat against Spain.

The French national team is in the status of the host of European Football Championship 2016. The French team is able to cope with all its rivals within the group. This cannot be said about the Germany team, which they can meet before the final step, if it takes the first position in their quartet.

WHO WILL PLAY THE FINALS?

Most likely, the final pair in the European Championship is Germany and Spain. Stick a point on the Spain vs Germany final at 14/1 for good measure. There are many ifs, buts and maybes in this result, but these are the two big European powerhouses of football, so they are worth a greater degree of faith.

Nevertheless, it does not matter that there are no other value knocking around further down the order and the 100/1 on Ukraine to win EURO 2016 seems a decent each-way punt for an outside interest. Ukrainian national team is not considered as the favorite of the tournament as a whole, and their group in particular. But this is a certain advantage of Mykhaylo Fomenko’s men. After being initially at a disadvantage, they can look forward to an underestimation on the part of Germans and Poles in the group C.

We expect the real struggle for the second place in Group C, where the chances of the Poles and Ukrainians are the same, although the bookies still see a slight advantage given to Poland and we believe in the superior of Ukraine team. Furthermore, the idea that Switzerland finishes as runners-up to France in Group A is far from a formality, so a last-16 clash with either Romania or Albania is quite real, but we would make Ukraine enjoy progressing in any case. The Ukrainians had a good qualifying campaign, conceding just 4 goals in 10 matches (and this was in the same group with Spain and Slovakia). If Yehven Konoplyanka and Andriy Yarmolenko come for the tournament in a good shape, we can hope for the success of a decade ago at least.

Spain is the possible opponent for Ukraine in the quarters. If they succeed, their contender in the semi-final will be from either Group B, E or F, which means a fairly modest barrier to the place money. However, do not also neglect a political motive. Any victory can enable a country to restore immense pride in their national identity in the time of crises or conflict. Do not rule out the chance that Ukraine team will be psyched-up to overcome all the obstacles and reveal their potential.